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Starting January 2009, Missouri Housing Development Commission (MHDC) will have a new product to enable first-time homebuyers to take advantage of the $7,500 federal first-time homebuyer tax credit. This program is the first of its kind in the nation.

The federal first-time homebuyer tax credit was created by Congress this summer to encourage new homebuyers to purchase homes and thereby stimulate housing markets. However, the federal tax credit has been largely ineffective. One of the primary reasons the federal credit hasn’t worked is that the homebuyer doesn’t receive the money until he receives his federal income tax refund – which may be several months after the home is purchased. 

With over 30 years experience funding mortgages for first-time homebuyers, MHDC knows that the biggest barrier faced by first-time homebuyers is acquiring money for downpayment and closing costs. As a result, MHDC created a program that allows homebuyers to receive the value of the tax credit at the time of closing.  

Get more information from a Participating Lender about the Tax Credit Advance Loan Program.

Misouri Housing Development Commission

Internal Revenue Service tax credit aid to first-time homebuyers

As the Federal Reserve started cutting interest rates, the stocks of home builders Toll Brothers, Lennar, and Hovnanian rose 40 percent, 52 percent, and 96 percent respectively.

Some analysts believe these increases portend sunnier days ahead for the entire housing industry.

“What took us into this malaise will be what takes us out,” Bill Miller, portfolio manager for the Legg Mason Value Trust, wrote this week in a letter to the fund’s shareholders. “Housing stocks peaked in the summer of 2005 and were the first group to start down. Now housing stocks are one of the few areas in the market that are up for the year.”

“Stocks are predictive of the industry about six to nine months ahead of time,” adds Justin Walters of Bespoke Investment Group in Harrison, N.Y. He says he is bullish on the sector, noting that house-price futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange have been forecasting a bottom in house prices in many U.S. markets toward the end of 2008.

Source: Fortune, Colin Barr (02/14/08)

Expired listings, price adjustments, and removed listings…..3,985*

Closed sales, under contract firm and contingent…..1,821*

Current properties for sale…..30,159*

*Numbers obtained through the Mid America Regional Information Systems MLS and represent activity for the past 7 days.

Lawrence Yun, NAR vice president of research, notes that widening credit availability will help turn around home sales. “Conforming loans are abundantly available at historically favorable mortgage rates. Pricing has steadily improved on jumbo mortgages since the August credit crunch, and FHA loans are replacing subprime mortgages,” he says.

Yun says it’s important to place the current housing market in perspective, and that 2007 will be the fifth highest year on record for existing-home sales.

“Although sales are off from an unsustainable peak in 2005, there is a historically high level of home sales taking place this year — a lot of people are, in fact, buying homes,” he says. “One out of 16 American households is buying a home this year. The speculative excesses have been removed from the market and home sales are returning to fundamentally healthy levels, while prices remain near record highs, reflecting favorable mortgage rates and positive job gains.”

Yun emphasizes that all real estate is local with naturally large variations within a given area. For example, markets such as Austin, Salt Lake City, and Raleigh have been outperforming recently and will continue to do well next year, Yun predicts. Also, other areas like Denver and Wichita, Kansas, will likely move up in the price growth rankings due to very positive local economic developments, he notes.

Housing Outlook

“Housing is still a good long-term investment, and we’ll be seeing a broad, modest improvement in home prices in 2008,” NAR President Pat V. Combs says.

Here’s what NAR predicts:

Existing-home sales: expected to total 5.78 million in 2007 and then rise to 6.12 million next year, in contrast with 6.48 million in 2006.
New-home sales: forecast at 804,000 this year and 752,000 in 2008, down from 1.05 million in 2006. A recovery for new homes will be delayed until next spring.
Home prices: existing-home prices will probably slip 1.3 percent to a median of $219,000 in 2007 before rising 1.3 percent next year to $221,800. The median new-home price should drop 2.1 percent to $241,400 this year, and then increase 1 percent in 2008 to $243,900.

“A cutback in housing construction is a positive sign for the market because it will help lower inventory and firm up home prices,” Yun says. Housing starts, including multifamily units, are likely to total 1.37 million in 2007 and 1.24 million next year, down from 1.8 million in 2006.

Meanwhile, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is expected to average 6.4 percent for the next two quarters and then edge up to the 6.6 percent range in the second half 2008. Additional cuts expected in the Fed funds rate will help to keep mortgage interest rates historically favorable, according to NAR.

Also, growth in the U.S. gross domestic product is estimated at 2 percent this year, below the 2.9 percent growth rate in 2006; GDP is likely to grow 2.7 percent next year.

The unemployment rate is forecast to average 4.6 percent this year, unchanged from 2006. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, is expected to be 2.8 percent in 2007, compared with 3.2 percent last year. Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income will probably increase 3.6 percent in 2007, up from 3.1 percent last year.

— REALTOR® Magazine Online